Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.001424 0.001516 0.001611 0.001717 0.001831 0.001950 0.002084
2024-10-13 0.001298 0.001424 0.001560 0.001716 0.001891 0.002081 0.002305
2024-10-20 0.001183 0.001329 0.001490 0.001680 0.001901 0.002148 0.002449
2024-10-27 0.001109 0.001271 0.001453 0.001675 0.001938 0.002241 0.002621
2024-11-03 0.001019 0.001187 0.001380 0.001619 0.001909 0.002251 0.002690
2024-11-10 0.000980 0.001159 0.001369 0.001633 0.001961 0.002358 0.002877
2024-11-17 0.000931 0.001116 0.001335 0.001618 0.001974 0.002414 0.003003
2024-11-24 0.000902 0.001095 0.001328 0.001633 0.002024 0.002515 0.003188
2024-12-01 0.000856 0.001051 0.001289 0.001604 0.002015 0.002541 0.003274
2024-12-08 0.000821 0.001018 0.001261 0.001589 0.002023 0.002586 0.003386
2024-12-15 0.000790 0.000989 0.001238 0.001578 0.002034 0.002635 0.003503
2024-12-22 0.000766 0.000968 0.001224 0.001577 0.002058 0.002702 0.003647
2024-12-29 0.000734 0.000938 0.001199 0.001564 0.002070 0.002758 0.003788
2025-01-05 0.000710 0.000916 0.001185 0.001565 0.002099 0.002839 0.003969
2025-01-12 0.000676 0.000880 0.001148 0.001533 0.002082 0.002854 0.004053
2025-01-19 0.000653 0.000859 0.001132 0.001529 0.002103 0.002922 0.004219
2025-01-26 0.000617 0.000817 0.001085 0.001478 0.002054 0.002888 0.004226
2025-02-02 0.000604 0.000807 0.001082 0.001491 0.002099 0.002991 0.004451
2025-02-09 0.000583 0.000785 0.001062 0.001478 0.002102 0.003033 0.004581
2025-02-16 0.000572 0.000777 0.001060 0.001491 0.002146 0.003138 0.004817
2025-02-23 0.000550 0.000752 0.001033 0.001465 0.002130 0.003148 0.004897
2025-03-02 0.000533 0.000733 0.001015 0.001452 0.002132 0.003187 0.005025
2025-03-09 0.000517 0.000716 0.000999 0.001442 0.002138 0.003231 0.005166